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Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Second Thoughts and Second Guessing

Last week I was pretty convinced that Israel was getting ready to launch an aerial strike against Iran, targeting Iran's nascent nuclear weapons development program. I mentioned a few bits of information which I found possibly relevant - chief among these was the mysterious disappearance of Binyamin Netanyahu [Israeli Prime Minister] one day when it eventually came out that he was visiting Dmitri Medvedev and/or Vladimir Putin in Moscow. I postulated that this visit was to seek Russia's tacit approval for the strike against Iran.

Since I posted, President Obama has announced that we are not going to be deploying the Anti-Ballistic Missile Shield in Poland and the Czech Republic. In return, Russia has announced that they will not be deploying short-range ballistic missiles in Kaliningrad, and it also looks like we get overflight access as well as overland supply routes into Afghanistan. What else? What if there is a "pot-sweetener" that has not been announced? Namely, Russian acquiescence to stern economic sanctions against Iran, in order to [hopefully] cause Iran to abandon their program to develop nuclear weapons. So, follow me now: Russia approves sterner economic sanctions against Iran, Israel defers on ordering an aerial strike against Iran and waits instead to see what effect the sanctions will have, and the US declares that it will not pursue the Eastern European Missile Shield.

To date, my thought that perhaps Iran would get hit by September 21 [happily] has not happened. Well, read up on this link, though:

So, Iran is claiming that ""Glowing objects were sighted over the Persian Gulf. IRGC air defense targeted one of the objects successfully, forcing it to plummet and sink in the seas off Boushehr (Province)," said top regional commander, Brigadier Ali Razmjou.

"The three bright objects were detected by our radars when flying over the Persian Gulf Islands of Khark and Khargou," he added, according to a Monday report posted on IRNA.

Brig. Razmjou explained that when the radars indicated that they were not Iranian aircrafts, the IRGC fired at the three objects. He also added that the fallen objects' remains have not been found yet. " [This was copied from Iranian PressTV's website at 6:52 PM EDT on 23 September, 2009].

I have seen many times the inflated claims than Iran attaches to new wonder weapons and such, that are either absolute pieces of rubbish, or [even more brazenly] some other country's system. Usually there is SOME kernel of truth to be found.....

What if there WAS something flying over Khark and Khargou? Not extra-terrestrial: what if it was an Israeli or American UAV [Unarmed Aerial Vehicle]? How would that change things? Hmmmmm.... curiouser and curiouser.

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